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Dies ist das Blog von Daniel Schweighöfer. Früher schrieb ich viel hochtrabende Essays und Gedichte und hielt mein persönlichen Geschichten zurück, da klang die Selbstbeschreibung auch anders. Dieses Jahr ist mir nach etwas anderem, dieses Jahr beschreibe ich die Themen aus meiner Perspektive.
Ich kann jetzt noch nicht abschätzen, worüber ich alles schreiben werde, aber wahrscheinlich wird es viel über das Leben mit meiner Familie und im Hausprojekt gehen, bestimmt auch viel politisches und ich hätte auch mal wieder Bock auf Essays. Wir werden sehen.
Freut mich zumindest, dass es euch interessiert! Bitte fühlt euch eingeladen zu kommentieren und mir euer Feedback zukommen zu lassen!
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How I found it was actually pretty stupid — I could never figure out what an e/w return actually came to with 1/5 odds a place. Basically I’d guess and get a shock. These days I punch the numbers in before every slip, even a straight one-selection punt.
The single bet calculator tool is the part I’m on daily — you put in the price and your stake and it spits out profit and total return with no faffing, either odds format. There’s also the multiples — acca and treble maths, a lucky 15, yankees, honestly that’s where I’d always lose track. If you want a look, it’s over at outplayed calculator and there’s no login wall, which I appreciated.
One thing that really shifted things for me were the geekier tools. The probability thing which shows you what margin’s baked in, and a kelly staking calculator — I use half kelly because full kelly is far too aggressive. The dutching one is decent for when I’m spreading across selections.
It’s not perfect mind. Its layout is a bit basic — no frills, which honestly I don’t mind but some will. Phone-wise it works though the lucky 63 breakdown make you pinch and zoom. And nothing on the app store, it’s browser only — doesn’t bother me but you asked.
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August 1
So — been using this thing for something like six months now and it’s basically bookmarked at this point, so figured I’d write something up since a mate asked me a few days back. Am UK based, mainly stick to footie and the horses, small stakes, just so you know where I’m coming from.
The reason I started using it was actually a bit daft — I never could figure out what an each way payout actually came to when the place terms changed. Basically I’d guess and then be surprised. Now type the odds in before every slip, even a simple single bet.
Their single bet calculator is the one I open most — you put in the price and your stake and it shows returns with no faffing, fractions or decimals. Same tool covers the fiddly ones — doubles and trebles returns, a lucky 15, a yankee, honestly that’s where I always got it wrong. Have a go yourself, it lives at working out lucky 15 and there’s no login wall, which I appreciated.
One thing that actually shifted things for me was the nerdier bits. The probability converter and it makes obvious the overround, and there’s the kelly tool — I stick to fractional kelly as the full version is a quick route to a dead bankroll. The dutch tool is decent if I’m covering two or three runners.
Not all sunshine though. Its design looks pretty plain — not much frills, looks like it was built by someone who cares more about maths than colours. On my phone it’s usable though the lucky 63 breakdown make you pinch and zoom. There’s nothing on the app store, it’s a website and that’s it — fine by me but worth saying.
Right, that’s me. Free, no ads shoved in your face, works. If anyone even now does the maths on paper, have a look — saved me a load of arguments with the bookie.
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August 1
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How I found it was honestly a bit daft — I could never work out what an each way payout would be when the place terms changed. I’d just wing it and moan when the payout landed. Now I punch the numbers in before every slip, even the boring singles.
Their single bet calculator tool is the part I open most — type in stake and odds and it shows returns with no faffing, fractions or decimals. Same tool covers the bigger stuff — trebles returns, lucky 15s, yankees, honestly that’s where I’d always got it wrong. Have a go yourself, it lives at lucky 63 free bet calculator and it’s free with no account nonsense.
The thing that really shifted things for me was the nerdier tools. There’s an probability converter and it makes obvious what margin’s baked in, and there’s the kelly criterion calculator — I stick to fractional kelly as the full version is a quick route to a dead bankroll. The dutch tool is handy too when I’m spreading across selections.
It’s not perfect mind. The interface looks a bit basic — zero frills, it’s clearly function over form. On mobile it’s fine but the lucky 63 breakdown are a squeeze. There’s no app, it’s browser only — fine by me but worth saying.
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What got me on it was genuinely a bit daft — I could never work out what an each way payout actually was when the place terms changed. Basically I’d guess and get a shock. Now I stick my stake in before every slip, even the boring singles.
The single bet calculator tool is the part I open most — you drop in stake and odds and it spits out profit and total return straight away, either odds format. It also handles the fiddly ones — acca and treble maths, lucky 15s, patents and yankees, which is where I’d always mess it up. If you fancy a poke about, it’s here odds converter betting and it’s free with no account nonsense.
What actually made a difference is the geekier extras. The implied probability calculator that shows the overround, and there’s the kelly staking tool — I use half kelly because full kelly is far too aggressive. The dutching one is handy too if I’m splitting a race.
Couple of gripes. The interface looks a bit basic — not much polish, it’s clearly function over form. On mobile it’s fine but the bigger tables make you pinch and zoom. There’s nothing on the app store, it’s a website and that’s it — doesn’t bother me but worth saying.
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