Über

Dies ist das Blog von Daniel Schweighöfer. Früher schrieb ich viel hochtrabende Essays und Gedichte und hielt mein persönlichen Geschichten zurück, da klang die Selbstbeschreibung auch anders. Dieses Jahr ist mir nach etwas anderem, dieses Jahr beschreibe ich die Themen aus meiner Perspektive.

Ich kann jetzt noch nicht abschätzen, worüber ich alles schreiben werde, aber wahrscheinlich wird es viel über das Leben mit meiner Familie und im Hausprojekt gehen, bestimmt auch viel politisches und ich hätte auch mal wieder Bock auf Essays. Wir werden sehen.

Freut mich zumindest, dass es euch interessiert! Bitte fühlt euch eingeladen zu kommentieren und mir euer Feedback zukommen zu lassen!

COMMENTS

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    August 1

    Right — been using this thing for about six months now and it’s basically bookmarked at this point, so thought I’d write something up since a mate asked me the other day. Am in the UK, generally do football and horses, nothing mad, for context.

    What got me on it was genuinely pretty stupid — I never could get my head round what an e/w payout would be once you get five places instead of three. I’d just guess and moan when the payout landed. Now punch the numbers in before every slip, even a straight one-selection punt.

    Their single bet calculator tool is the one I’m on daily — type in your stake, the odds and it spits out the return straight away, either odds format. It also handles the multiples — acca and treble returns, lucky 15s, a yankee, and that’s where most people I know mess it up. If you want a look, it’s over at each way lucky 15 calculator and there’s no login wall, which I appreciated.

    The thing that actually changed how I bet were the more serious extras. The implied probability converter that shows how much the bookie’s taking, plus a kelly staking tool — I run quarter kelly since full stakes are a quick route to a dead bankroll. Dutching calculator is handy too for when I’m spreading across selections.

    Not all sunshine though. The design is a bit basic — not much flash, looks like it was built by someone who cares more about maths than colours. On mobile it’s fine but the bigger tables need a bit of scrolling. And no proper app, it’s a website and that’s it — slight shame but you asked.

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    What got me on it was actually a bit daft — I couldn’t ever work out what an ew payout actually was when the place terms changed. I used to just eyeball it and moan when the payout landed. These days I stick my stake in first, every time, even the boring singles.

    The single bet calculator is the bit I open most — you put in stake and odds and you get the return straight away, fractional or decimal, doesn’t matter. It also handles the bigger stuff — doubles and trebles returns, lucky 15s, patents and yankees, which is where most people I know mess it up. Have a go yourself, it’s here yankee calculator bet — free, no signup.

    One thing that genuinely shifted things for me were the more serious bits. They’ve got an probability thing which shows you the overround, plus a kelly staking calculator — I stick to fractional kelly because full kelly is far too aggressive. The dutch tool gets used a fair bit for when I’m spreading across selections.

    It’s not perfect mind. Its layout looks very functional, let’s say — zero flash, looks like it was built by someone who cares more about maths than colours. On mobile it’s fine but the bigger tables are a squeeze. Also there’s no app, it’s browser only — doesn’t bother me but worth saying.

    Right, that’s me. Free, no ads shoved in your face, works. Anyone who honestly works out returns on a calculator app, have a look — it’s saved me a load of „wait, that’s it?“ moments.

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    What got me on it was genuinely a bit daft — I could never work out what an e/w return actually was when the place terms changed. Basically I’d wing it and then be surprised. These days I punch the numbers in before every slip, even a simple single bet.

    Their single bet calculator is the bit I use most — type in your stake, the odds and you get returns instantly, fractions or decimals. Same tool covers the fiddly ones — acca and treble maths, lucky 15s, yankees, which is where I’d always mess it up. Have a go yourself, it’s here matched bet finder — free, no signup.

    The thing that really shifted things for me was the nerdier extras. The odds-to-probability thing and it makes obvious the overround, and a kelly criterion calculator — I run quarter kelly as the full version is a quick route to a dead bankroll. The dutching one gets used a fair bit for when I’m splitting a race.

    Not all sunshine though. The design looks very functional, let’s say — zero flash, it’s clearly function over form. Phone-wise it works but the lucky 63 breakdown need a bit of scrolling. There’s no proper app, it’s a website and that’s it — slight shame but worth saying.

    Right, that’s me. Doesn’t cost anything, not plastered in adverts, does what it says. Anyone who honestly does the maths on paper, give it a go — it’s saved me plenty of arguments with the bookie.

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  35. single_hvml

    August 2

    So — been on this thing for about six months now and it’s stuck on my phone, so figured I’d chuck my thoughts in since a mate asked me last week. Am based in the UK, mainly bet football and racing, small stakes, for context.

    How I found it was honestly pretty stupid — I couldn’t ever figure out what an ew payout actually came to once you get five places instead of three. Basically I’d eyeball it and get a shock. These days I stick my stake in before every slip, even a simple single bet.

    Their single bet calculator is the one I open most — you put in the price and your stake and it spits out the return instantly, fractions or decimals. It also handles the bigger stuff — trebles returns, a lucky 15, a yankee, which is where I’d always got it wrong. Have a go yourself, it’s here no vig calculator and there’s no login wall, which I appreciated.

    What genuinely made a difference is the more serious tools. They’ve got an odds-to-probability converter and it makes obvious the overround, and there’s the kelly criterion calculator — I stick to fractional kelly since full stakes are a quick route to a dead bankroll. Dutching calculator gets used a fair bit when I’m spreading across selections.

    Not all sunshine though. Its layout looks a bit basic — not much polish, which honestly I don’t mind but some will. On my phone it works though the acca grid are a squeeze. And nothing on the app store, it’s a website and that’s it — slight shame but worth saying.

    So yeah. Free, not plastered in adverts, does what it says. Anyone who even now works out returns on a calculator app, have a look — saves me a fair few dumb bets I’d have regretted.

  36. single_xtml

    August 2

    OK — have been messing about with this thing for about six months now and it’s basically bookmarked at this point, reckon I’d chuck my thoughts in since someone asked me a few days back. Am in the UK, mostly stick to footie and the horses, nothing mad, so take it how you like.

    The reason I started using it was actually a bit daft — I could never work out what an ew payout would be once you get five places instead of three. I’d just wing it and moan when the payout landed. Now type the odds in before I place anything, even a simple single bet.

    The single bet calculator is the bit I open most — you put in stake and odds and it spits out profit and total return instantly, fractional or decimal, doesn’t matter. Same tool covers the fiddly ones — acca and treble maths, lucky 15 and lucky 63, patents and yankees, and that’s where I always mess it up. Have a go yourself, it’s here how to work out accumulator odds — free, no signup.

    What genuinely made a difference were the geekier tools. The odds-to-probability calculator which shows you how much the bookie’s taking, and there’s the kelly criterion calculator — I stick to fractional kelly because full kelly is far too aggressive. The dutching one is handy too for when I’m splitting a race.

    Couple of gripes. The design is very functional, let’s say — no polish, it’s clearly function over form. Phone-wise it’s fine though the lucky 63 breakdown need a bit of scrolling. And no app, it’s browser only — doesn’t bother me but you asked.

    So yeah. Costs nowt, barely any ads, works. If you even now does the maths on paper, try it — saved me a fair few „wait, that’s it?“ moments.

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